The Kansas City Chiefs enter Week 15 staring at a reality few could have imagined just months ago. Their postseason chase now depends as much on outside help as it does on their own execution. Long considered the AFC’s gold standard, Kansas City instead finds itself teetering on the playoff bubble. Advanced models paint a grim picture as Patrick Mahomes and company prepare for a season-defining matchup. With analytics narrowing the margin for error to nearly zero, the Chiefs’ playoff picture has become one of the most precarious storylines of the 2025 NFL season.